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Technology
& Leadership
Alex
Soojung-Kim Pang
Participant
I am posing this question just for clarification: There have been two
threads of the discussion of "Leadership and Technology" thus far: 1)use
by business leaders and 2)use for citizen participation in government.
Am I correct that use by business
is the one that interests most Participants here and therefore
should be the focus of our remarks? I support that--and will only suggest
here that use of citizen participation might be the focus for a later
discussion.
Participant
Don, I, for one, hope that we can continue to include the focus on the
public sector. But it isn't just citizen participation that is the issue.
Here again we have leaders who are disconnected from IT. How can IT serve
strategic leadership in the social/political area?
Participant
Several years ago, long before the sophisticated IT we have today, one
of my professors in graduate school suggested that a large electronic
billboard should be erected across from the capitol building in Washington,
DC. That display board should be a map of the United States, and in each
state should be displayed minute-to-minute poll results on a given issue
that is before the public. It would be like a stock market ticker, reeling
off the public's sentiment regarding policy issues currently under debate
on the hill. If the poll results were at all accurate (and, of course
that would be crucial), then Senators and Congressmen would have to be
disciplined in their public assertions regarding "what the public wants/thinks",
since the data would be there for all to see.
Participant
Larry: I am concerned about placing more emphasis on "what the public
wants/thinks"--which is really the product of opinion polls--before we
first ddress the quality of education on the issues that the average citizen
possesses. We need to move more toward collaborative problem solving procedures
and away from adversarial sound bit pressures. A big topic, but in my
mind one with an equally big priority!
Participant
What role can IT play in furthering collaborative problem solving? There
is a professor at UC San Marcos who has a decision-making facility that
is built upon a computer program that takes the individual responses to
a given question, collates them, summarizes the outcome, and suggests
next steps in moving toward a consensus. Local organizations utilize the
facility to further decision-making about issues that face their executive
committees and work groups. I'm sure there are other applications that
can be made of IT to further collaboration. Just posting the poorly educated
opinions of various segments of the population on a billboard is, of course,
not the final answer. Can IT be used to move collaboration toward a synergistic
outcome; and avoid the pitfalls of "groupthink" in the process?
Participant
We are feeling the effects of the proverbial "rolling present" here, aren't
we! At least three threads running in parallel.
1. There is a distinction being
made about information vs. interpretation vs. wisdom, etc., that I think
misses a point. When I spoke of having what is known in one place available
immediately in another place, I did not have in mind that it would be
a good thing for the CEO to know all the available information. I did
have in mind that the CEO would want to understand that the capability
was there, and think about how to use that capability wisely, adapting
his structure and style to take advantage of it--and, of course, to avoid
information overload by himself and others. To do this, he would have
to have some understanding, I think, of IT works--what it will do and
what it won't do, or doesn't yet do.
2. The prospect of instantaneous
accurate opinion poll displays available to the Congress scares the hell
out of me! I just came from the barber shop (and look better for it, even
if I feel worse) where I listened to frightening exchanges of opinion
by "ordinary folk" who knew nothing at all of what they were talking about.
I hope, and believe, that we have designed our system of government for
better things than this.
Participant
Larry, re your 1:38: What I "vision" is a shift from confining citizens
to a passive role that results in a bombardment of sound-bites into one
in which they can partake in active education leading to participative
decision making. In this vision, IT makes it possible to provide a seminar
experience (which until recently was necessarily restricted to face-to-face
gatherings) for many thousands of people. For example, we will soon (five
to ten years?) have digital tv in most homes and the capability of the
tv to be an expansion of what e-mail (like this group is experiencing)
could do to duplicate traditional town meetings.
What is missing is the ability
(and experience) of those who have developed FACILITATION (rather than
CHAIRING) of meetings to enhance the decision making potentials of groups.
I see this as a promising, and still not widely accepted, field for experimentation.
I am not suggesting that such
procedures should replace the role of legislators, but rather that it
will replace the current role of citizens simply to be counted in polls.
Participant
I'm told that there is a lot of collaboration software on the market,
enabling work teams to join in non-geographic communities, and to accomplish
even complex and creative work online, but I don't know the software myself.
Perhaps others do. Does it work for top leadership in strategy building?
Participant
Richard, there are a host of collaborative technologies out there (I listed
and defined about 30 in my book). Have top leaders used them for strategy
building? By and large, no (I'm going on anecdotal evidence here). I did,
however, gather some interesting anecdotes about top executives using
technologies to augment face to face meetings with large groups. These
were primarily polling instruments to get real-time feedback during a
presentation.
Certainly executives have used
videoconferencing (and I consider that a collaborative technology) and
they use audioconferencing all the time. Email too. I remember right after
my last book came out 10 years ago, one of the executives I interviewed
was rather miffed with me and said, "Why did you write about email? Executives
will never use email. They want databases." He called me 5 years
later (in the early days of the web) to tell me he was dead wrong and
could he take me to lunch as an apology! Email use by top executives may
not be ubiquitous but it has certainly grown over the past 10 years.
The point is that there are
a whole range of technologies that can serve as leadership tools, but
we don't have enough technology generalists who can illustrate creative
ways to use them for leadership.
Don, do you remember Newt Gingrich's
reading list for Congress way back in 1995? He put Leadership and the
Computer on the list because he really saw the need for leaders to understand
technology. He heavily promoted the use of technology by citizens as a
means of holding government accountable. Remember when he had all that
Congressional stuff put online? I think if we want to use computers for
citizen participation in government, that's more likely to happen after
the leaders understand the value and capabilities of the technologies.
Then maybe they'll be willing to allocate the funds to get citizens involved.
Although, I have to say, I'd be hard pressed to suggest they invest in
computers or other technologies until after they get better voting machines!!!!!!
Participant
Mary: see my # 40 above re trying to meld the growing art/skills of facilitation
with the upcoming digital TV via Public TV. I strongly believe that a
high priority is to introduce collaborative decision making into the mix
of our political process but perhaps this is too academic an approach.
I would love to get your view on this, and also that of Larry Grossman
(former Chair of National Public TV). I think he once attended a WBSI
meeting. Do you know him? I
Alex Soojung-Kim Pang
Isn't it interesting how we've started using the message numbers as citations?
It's a bit like Biblical chapter and verse. (John Locke, incidentally,
strongly disliked the use of chapter and verse, on the grounds that it
encouraged people to read the Bible as a set of separate--and separable--passages,
rather than as a grand whole. But I don't think we have to worry too much
about that here.) I wonder if the designers of Caucus intended them to
be used this way.
My apologies for being such
a hands-off host these last few days, not that the discussion has suffered
from my absence. In the real world, my wife and I just took possession
of a new house, and I've been pulling up carpet, dealing with hot and
cold running contractors, and so on since the weekend. However, the illusion
of control is starting to dawn.
I wonder if it be useful at
this point to split up the discussion into a couple parts: into, say,
a thread on management and IT, and one on the use of IT in improving the
democratic process? I can see some ways in which a comparison of the ways
IT could be used in each realm could be valuable--especially given the
underlying desire to make BOTH more participatory--but maybe we would
get farther on each by treating them separately for a bit, then attempting
a synthesis. Any preferences?
Don: One important issue to
deal with in an online network devoted to political discourse and decision-making
is that of reliability--not the kind of reliability of having the servers
always up, but the kind that comes from transparency in the process. At
Britannica, we experimented for a time with online opinion surveys (beloved
by Marketing, reviled by the content side of the shop, which at the time
I ran), and we often saw what
you could call the Kamal Ataturk Effect: no matter the question (who was
the most important politician of all time, the greatest baseball player,
the winner of the 1952 Kentucky Derby), the answer was Kamal Ataturk.
Clearly, in the great Chicago tradition, someone was voting early and
often.
Credibility of process is likewise
the great bugaboo of Web search engines (how do you know the results aren't
weighted, through programmer's assumptions or bribery, to favor some sites?),
Web shop bots (how do you know they've really selected the lowest price?),
and any kind of online survey. We've recently had a lesson in how even
something as simple as counting votes can become complicated and contingent
when you deal with millions of them. Could you assure a potentially skeptical
public that an online system you're offering them wouldn't be subject
to the same kinds of potentially catastrophic uncertainties, or couldn't
be hacked?
Mary: I wonder if you could
say a bit more about the differences in traditional versus interactive
managerial styles? Maybe a more focused example would help--say, contrast
how each would develop a policy, or respond to a crisis.
I think Ray's point in 1:39
about the ultimate futility of parsing "information," "knowledge," "wisdom,"
etc. is right on. Among other things, even if most of the time managers
want more abstract distillations of big data sets, there are times when
they want a specific piece of information--a stock price at the opening
bell, the news from a foreign capital during a coup--as soon as possible,
in as raw a form as possible.
Participant
Alex: Re the "difference" between management and democratic-governance
use of IT: One way of combining the two--at least at the start of our
discussions would be to consider the use of IT for problem-solving tasks
rather than for surveys and polls of opinions. In fact, I believe that
this was what you meant by focusing on participatory procedures.
Am I correct (and here I would
rely on the views of Mary and Lisa and perhaps others) that much of the
new research in business circles is focused on participatory decision
making". I believe there are many lessons learned in that research that
could greatly enrich the less successful efforts of those concerned with
"governance".
What I have in mind is: the
use of facilitated rather than "chaired" discussions, the value of collaborative
efforts at understanding the problem, pertinent data, and different goals
before short-circuiting the decision process by the introduction of adversarial
solutions.
These are basic (almost cultural)
shifts in how we reach decisions that really should precede a consideration
of IT as a means to put them into practice.
Participant
I think most of the participants in this discussion know of Caucus's ability
to allow the branching of discussions into separate items. If you like,
we could start one or two new branches along the lines Alex suggests.
Whatcha think?
Participant
I think it would be a good idea to "branch", but not necessarily right
at this moment. Don's thoughts about collaborative decision-making are
applicable to both branches, and could well be addressed here rather than
twice.
Participant
Hello. I'm coming in late, was not able to join the conference earlier
because of a little technological glitch. So I'm mindful of IT's shortcomings
at the moment. I find this a fascinating discussion and plan to check
out the material on the links Alex cited earlier. I'm interested in all
dimensions of this subject, have just completed a book on global civilization
which deals, of course, with many of the themes being discussed here.
I kind of like the term "informatization of society," coined some years
ago by a couple of French writers.
Participant
Hi, Walt. Welcome. You have a lot to bring to this discussion, and I'm
looking forward to your contributions.
I think we are seeing that what
top leaders want more than information is each other. What can IT do to
foster that? What does it mean to have access to each other? Along what
dimensions? How can advice, opinion, criticism, interpretation, encouragement
be made systematically available? What more might leaders really want
from each other? Can IT give them something they are not getting now in
other ways? Does it perhaps get into less rational areas such as friendship?
Does it cross emotional boundaries that IT usually doesn't address? Should
it be organized on industry-wide rather than organization-wide basis?
Or between the private sector and the state?
Participant
I don't know much about what's going on in this field, but it seems obvious
to me that what's necessary is not only the right technologies but also
the right kind of facilitation by people and organizations (such as WBSI)
to make it easy for leaders to use the hardware in ways that are easy
and productive for them.
Participant
I strongly believe that there is an urgent need for "researching" the
use of IT for citizen participation in governance. Not for the 1960's
connotation of "power to the people", but for quite a different reason.
Many of the hard decisions ahead
have to do with coming to grips with environmental/population impacts
on our planet. And most of the strategies for reversing the damage that
our consumption patterns are causing will demand difficult changes in
our life styles.
I have found it useful in some
teaching that I have done to suggest that these changes/choices demand
that we THINK THE UNTHINKABLE IN ORDER TO AVOID THE UNTHINKABLE.
What I mean by that phrase is
that we will not voluntarily or easily accept the higher costs of environmental
protection unless we first "internalize" the unthinkable results if we
do not accept those costs. Nor will we easily internalize such perceptions
by simply listening to or reading the wisdom of others. Only through participating
in deliberative discussion will we emotionally accept the unthinkable
consequences of running out of water or global warming sufficiently to
accept the "unthinkable" sacrifices needed to mitigate such results.
One possible way to involve
citizens in such deliberation might be to harness the skills of facilitated,
participatory discussion with the new, computer-like technology of digital
television (especially via Public Television). The timing is right for
this, since digital tv for everyone is still some years away, but many
of the Public TV stations are now thinking about how best to use this
new technology.
Perhaps this is a challenging,
useful, and interesting route to travel for this forum??
-------------
Forgive this interruption. But
there are not many forums that I know of where I would have the luxury
of spilling my thoughts so freely as I have done above!!
Participant
I am enjoying a lot the discussions. I have little to contribute at this
point, since the wisdom about leadership is clearly more in your hands.
I am just a devoted student and ardent follower. --Rodrigo
Participant
Now, Rodrigo. Your modesty is becoming, but I know that you have been
one of the major leaders in South America for many years. You have much
to contribute to this discussion. Would you be willing to comment on the
possible differences in the perception and use of information technology
by the leaders of South America as compared with Europe and the US?
Participant
Don, one of the learnings of psychologists is that how one asks a question
will determine the perceived intelligence of the respondent. In political
surveys, for example, if we ask people how they intend to vote on a particular
proposition among many on a ballot, they will never have heard of it and
appear stupid. If, on the other hand, we were to be able to simulate alternative
futures, showing the trade-offs and consequences, they would choose wisely
and appear intelligent. Too often the press and others treat people as
if they are stupid but well informed, when it is the other way around.
So perhaps the new developments in IT could present people with alternative
futures, much to our advantage as a society.
Participant
Dick, I totally agree with your 1:73. I would also like your response,
as a psychologist AND an environmentalist, with regard to the need for
deeper understanding by the average citizen of the consequences of future
environmental degradation before they will accept and support the current
need to make some sacrifices to avoid the consequences of that degradation.
Participant
Yes, I'm afraid that while there is much that can be accomplished through
legislation, regulation and action at the upper levels, ultimately, on
environmental matters, all of us have to cooperate, and that will require
our shared understanding of the risks and benefits. I think that most
will agree, for example, that the eventual solution to environmental degradation
is likely to be in the area of conservation, even though we keep hoping
for clean technology like solar or waste-free nuclear energy. But conservation
requires cooperation at all levels of society. It doesn't work if only
a few of us do it. And the changes will be wrenching. For example, imagine
how difficult it would be to ask people to give up eating meat or automobile
travel or air conditioning. We might as well ask them to cut off their
right arms. It may not be possible to dislodge people from such God-given
rights, even when the dramatic scenarios are graphically presented, any
more than we can get an adamant gun owner to give up his gun after hearing
about a father coming home, wondering why things don't look quite right,
getting his loaded gun, and surprised by his 12-year-old daughter playfully
jumping out of a closet to scare him, shoots her, and her dying words
are, "I'm sorry, daddy". I was at dinner the other night with such a gun
owner, and I mentioned that people with loaded guns in their houses are
43 times as likely to shoot themselves or a loved one than they are an
intruder. He said, "Not me!" That said, I do think that when the situation
is made more graphic, many people will change. Curiously, the psychological
research shows that when you make things too scary, it becomes counter-productive.
For example, if you want children to brush their teeth, it is better to
talk about cavities than about blood or gum disease or cancer.
Alex Soojung-Kim Pang
My apologies for disappearing for an extended period--like the East Coast
blackout of 1965, several small things (like the end of the academic year,
and delivery guys, contractors and electricians who--respectively--can't
count, can't read, and can't tell time) overloaded an already burdened
system.
While waiting for contractors
and delinquent students, I've been reading Steven Johnson's forthcoming
book "Emergence," which makes the argument that emergent behavior is something
that explains a great deal of the interesting behavior of cities, brains,
and various other complex entities. The essential idea is that systems
can exhibit considerable intelligence that exceeds the capabilities of
its individual members. Ant colonies, for example, are intelligent in
a way that individual ants are not, and even have distinct--albeit very
limited--personalities. In a similar manner, city neighborhoods--from
industrial concentrations (think how many cities have areas called Jewlers'
Row, Printers' Row, Bankers' Row) to the kinds of neighborhoods celebrated
by Jane Jacobs in her work on cities--possess a kind of enculturated intelligence
that isn't quite the sum of its individuals. What's fascinating about
these things is that no one's in charge: these systems have lots of resilience
and intelligence, and survive far longer than any single member.
This has been especially striking
because of the resonances between this argument and some of the points
participants here have been making. It obviously overlaps with what most
interests Donald --the use of IT to help the body politic evolve, to become
capable of dealing with the scale of contemporary problems without abandoning
the principles of participation and democratic action. The collective
local intelligence of the town hall could handle eighteenth- and nineteenth-century
issues, and still works for very local problems; but the problem is that
fewer and fewer important problems are really local. This, I now suspect,
is the flip side of the problem that is the principal concern of this
forum. I've been asking what kinds of things leaders today need to make
reasonable decisions. Perhaps the better way to frame the question is
to ask: What kinds of technologies or organizational forms help institutions
develop this kind of responsive intelligence? And what does that leave
executives to do? Would it drive executive time between decisions up from
11 minutes to something else? When I first read that fact (see Richard's
1:69), I thought, Gee, I wonder what kinds of devices could help manage
that flow. But the end of the anecdote suggests that the real solution
is to reduce the flow.
The other interesting reading
that recently caught my eye was a couple pieces on Silicon Valley executives:
Oracle's Ray Lane topped the executive salary list (at $250 million),
while a new study indicates that CEO lifetimes are getting shorter, as
company boards demand faster turnarounds, better response to crisis, and
greater profitability. Clearly, CEOs aren't obsolete yet, even in a region
that prides itself on being the technological and entrepreneurial capital
of--well, the world in the late 1990s and first several months of 2000,
anyway.
Alex Soojung-Kim Pang
Richard's point about the relationship between conservation and cooperative
action reminded me of something going on in the world of environmental
regulation and policy. There's been a fair amount of interest in these
circles in the use of commodities markets to achieve environmental goals.
For those who are unfamiliar with it, the system works like this: a government
issues a number of pollution credits to energy producers, etc., who can
then "spend" them (by polluting), or sell them to other companies, or
conservation groups who can just retire them. The government determines
how many such credits will be issued each year, and can manipulate the
supply: by issuing fewer credits each year, they reduce pollution levels.
Governments like it because
it's cheaper to run such an exchange than it is to determine and then
enforce a new set of regulations. It has two other virtues. First, it
turns pollution into something that companies really have to PAY for,
the same way they do electricity or other goods. (Traditionally, pollution
was free; it was the air scrubbers, stringent disposal practices, etc.
that cost you.) Second, it creates a system that possesses a measure of
intelligence about the costs and benefits of pollution, and the economical
solutions. It doesn't force all companies in a sector to reduce NO2 emissions
by X percent, for example, but allows companies to determine which economic
goals--avoiding the cost of pollution or the cost of upgrading--is more
attractive, even while pushing the entire system toward a certain goal.
This might not be quite the
sort of example of cooperation that Richard had in mind, but still, it
is a successful one.
Participant
No, it's not like all of us driving smaller cars or becoming vegetarians,
but it is a good example of the kind of action at the top that can make
a difference. That's where our policy recommendations might be directed.
Participant
>> the problem is that fewer and fewer important problems are really
local. <<
I hope that this fact, undeniable
as it may be, does not suggest that problems that are not "really local"
need not be addressed locally.
In re #78 & 79: might it
be possible to design a pollution credit system that would provide the
same incentive for driving smaller cars or becoming vegetarian? The pollution
from cars is readily measured; that from feed lots should be as easy to
work out if it hasn't been already.
Participant
While I can't remember where, I have seen estimates of the contribution
of methane gas emitted from cattle feces and flatulence worldwide to the
destruction of the ozone layer, and it is substantial. Maybe the leading
contributor? The lowing herds of cattle seem so bucolic and harmless,
but here are some figures about water usage: In California (and I think
elsewhere) 90% of our water goes to agriculture. 80% of that agriculture
water goes to crops to feed animals. So giving up eating meat would be
a major contribution to environmental health.
There is a connection between
Alex's tentative suggestion that perhaps IT can somehow capture, reflect,
quantify, regulate, automate, underscore, support or enhance the emerging
organizational or group wisdom about many dimensions of life that we ordinarily
assign to leadership, and the kind of discussion we are having about crediting
anti-pollution activities. I'm not sure what the connection is, but I
believe it is there.
Participant
Dick: I am being a Johnny-One-Note here, but I think one connection is
the need to involve ordinary citizens in discussions like this one if
only we can invent ways of using IT that are both user friendly and will
capture the interest and participation of "we, the people".
Without that, I believe the
ultimate "solution" may be a kind of dictatorship that will enforce the
necessary behavior without voluntary consent. The first strategy will
not be easy. The second strategy will not be pleasant.
A prior question that we must
all ask ourselves without fudging to be politically correct: Do we really
want to be governed by we, the people???
Participant
With regard to your "prior question", Don, I not only believe in full
participation by the citizenry, but I would extend the franchise to children,
and to resident aliens. The problem is not in the inability of the masses
to make good decisions, it is in the system we have that attempts, or
fails to attempt, to elicit that inherent intelligence. I'm with you,
Don, there are better ways. While I am occasionally vulnerable to the
attractiveness of governing by an elite, or by a benevolent leader, I
have no doubt that such a recourse is unwise. Every tyrant began by passionately
believing that he was serving his people.
Participant
Having the software surely isn't sufficient. Some good collaborative software
now exists, but isn't used. Your point suggests that we need to design
meta organizations that could facilitate clusters of leaders using IT
in new ways. The ILF is potentially one, as you point out. But there would
have to be many others, working within and among organizations and with
leaders in various combinations, to create a new atmosphere of acceptance
of the technology, and to inspire its use strategically.
Participant
For what I have been able to see at the Media Lab at MIT, the idea is
that IT will evolve into something so ubiquitous that common people will
be able to participate in decision making processes that never before
were considered. This is an application of IT rather than the management
of it, or the use by executives. The common person is the target. Get
them all into the digital age. Participate. Vote. Influence processes.
Dick Morris, with this Vote.com is trying to do that. How successful?
I do not know. But democratizing the management of nations via the digital
age is certainly an obvious field of development.
Participant
Some of the recent conversation has caused me to ruminate about some of
the paradoxes that Dick Farson brought out in his most interesting book
"Management of the Absurd". For example "There are no Leaders. There is
only Leadership. In our complex society, leadership is less the property
of the individual than the property of a group." Certainly in a high tech
company such as ESI we soon found that consensual decision making was
the only way to keep "reinventing" ourselves so that we could remain in
existence for the last 50 years and during that time "leadership" roved
around the company almost like relay runners passing the baton.
Another of Dick’s non-intuitive
insights is encapsulated in his chapter entitled "The Best Resource for
the Solution of Any Problem Is the Person or Group that Presents the Problem".
Again a "group dynamics" solution that would warm the cockles of Carl
Rogers' heart and has proven to be a very rewarding management style for
our company.
Another from his book "Listening
is More Difficult than Talking": In the earlier incarnation of WBSI, I
found "listening" to the written words of others to make listening easier
and more reflective that oral engagement so I would chalk up a plus for
computer mediated discussion. Further, the use of it for group dialog
"levels the playing field" so that all can be "heard"--a very useful tool
for facilitating participative leadership!
Considering these insights about
"group leadership", I have great hope that our increasing technical competence
in information technology will provide the tools for a different and more
productive form of shared leadership.
Participant
On that last point, Doug, you suggest another advantage to online communication.
People often refer to missing the valuable communication of voice, body
language, etc., but we seldom appreciate the fact that online communication
reduces stereotyping, a process that determines much of our communication
face-to-face. With this medium we are not pigeon-holed as women, children,
blacks, elderly, etc. That's got to be an important advantage in management,
community building, human relationships in general. I recall when one
of our staff members was having a vigorous real time intellectual discussion
with a stranger online which was interrupted when his correspondent said,
"I've got to go. My mom has called me to dinner." He was twelve.
Participant
There are two sides to that, Dick. Affinity caused by shared characteristics
--including gender, age, race, etc.--does bring people together as well
as separate them.
For purposes of stimulating
leadership, I'm sure we can agree that the stereotypes work against us.
But there are situations where they work for us, too (i.e., in community
building--see another conference on that point).
Participant
Touché, Ray. Actually, we seldom appreciate the value of stereotyping
because we are made so aware of its evils. We are constantly reminded
of the times when we unfairly judge someone because of our prejudice based
upon stereotyping. But stereotyping is how we cope with the world, including,
as you point out, choosing our associates. Stereotypes are actually a
shorthand way of handling our highly complex encounters with others, and
are usually accurate. The problem with stereotypes is not that they are
inaccurate, but they are unfair to those who do not fit, or do not intend
to fit.
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